I also think about this in terms of my own House race.

‘Surely if Trump+15 districts are coming onto the board, a Kamala+1 district must be a shoo-in.’

Trust me. It is not.

I’m here in #NY17 with a great Dem candidate in Cait Conley, and I am telling it is a coin flip.

Stay vigilant, folks.

Real time independent expenditure reporting for #CA48

See the list:

http://capitolhillaccess.com/tr/tr_TM_IEPRenderRedSummary.aspx?&sChamber=H&sStateDist=CA-48&sCycle=2026

Real time independent expenditure reporting for #NY17

See the list:...

If you're wondering why there's so much dysfunction in Congress, just follow the money.

@caitfornewyork.bsky.social is committed to getting Big Money out of politics so working people come first, not ultra-wealthy donors. #NY17

More than a day later, and still 🦗🦗🦗 from Lawler.

Lawler is a Trump puppet. He plays a moderate on TV & the media slobber all over him. But he's a MAGA wolf in moderate sheep's clothing. He talks pretty, but votes ugly. And he never stands up to his puppet master.

#NY17 NEEDS CAIT CONLEY. VOTE!

Symmetry Media, the ad buying vendor for Rolling Sea Action Fund, has other clients:

FEC database:

Cait For New York - Conley, Cait (#NY17)(DEM) FECID: C00900431

FEC Campaign Data: https://capitolhillaccess.com/tr/tr_ef_filer?sFECID=C00900431&sCycle=2026

Congressional Black Caucus PAC...

More GOP money moves.

They had hoped to make Dem-held #NY03 competitive.

But now they are taking some of that money and switching to #NJ07 (same media market). And #NY17 might be next.

Symmetry Media, the ad buying vendor for EDW Action Fund, has other clients:

FEC database:

Cait For New York - Conley, Cait (#NY17)(DEM) FECID: C00900431

FEC Campaign Data: https://capitolhillaccess.com/tr/tr_ef_filer?sFECID=C00900431&sCycle=2026

Congressional Black Caucus PAC FECID:...

Real time independent expenditure reporting for #IA01

See the list:

http://capitolhillaccess.com/tr/tr_TM_IEPRenderRedSummary.aspx?&sChamber=H&sStateDist=IA-01&sCycle=2026

Real time independent expenditure reporting for #NY17

See the list:...

Symmetry Media, the ad buying vendor for Elect Democratic Women, has other clients:

FEC database:

Cait For New York - Conley, Cait (#NY17)(DEM) FECID: C00900431

FEC Campaign Data: https://capitolhillaccess.com/tr/tr_ef_filer?sFECID=C00900431&sCycle=2026

Congressional Black Caucus PAC...

#VoteBlue #NY17

Real time independent expenditure reporting for #NY17

See the list:

http://capitolhillaccess.com/tr/tr_TM_IEPRenderRedSummary.aspx?&sChamber=H&sStateDist=NY-17&sCycle=2026

Real time independent expenditure reporting for #NY17

See the full list:...

Battleground New York spends $91,667 to SUPPORT Cait Conley (Hse NY-17)(D)

#NY17.

2026 Cycle FEC Data:

https://capitolhillaccess.com/tr/tr_ef_filer?&sFECID=C00859355&sCycle=2026

FEC:

https://docquery.fec.gov/cgi-bin/forms/C00859355/2017127

@RepMikeLawler @lawler4ny @JessicaReinmann...

Another batch of Q3 fundraising numbers, and despite impressive numbers from other contenders - I see you Bobby Pulido in #TX15 - Cait Conley still holds the title for most money raised by a House Dem challenger at $5M.

#NY17
@caitfornewyork.bsky.social

When it comes to who’ll defend democracy and who’s sold it out already, the answer couldn’t be clearer. @caitfornewyork.bsky.social is ready to do what Mike Lawler won’t: fight for the issues that matter to #NY17 families.

#ny17

#ny17

Just had the privilege of seeing our tough, courageous NY State Attorney General Letitia James at a canvassing kickoff event in Peekskill, NY.

Lots of energy for Tish, @caitfornewyork.bsky.social, and Democrats up-and-down the ballot.

#NY17
@newyorkstateag.bsky.social

Real time independent expenditure reporting for #NY17

See the list:

http://capitolhillaccess.com/tr/tr_TM_IEPRenderRedSummary.aspx?&sChamber=H&sStateDist=NY-17&sCycle=2026

Real time independent expenditure reporting for #NY17

See the full list:...

Battleground New York spends $100,723 to SUPPORT Cait Conley (Hse NY-17)(D)

#NY17,

and $723 to OPPOSE Michael Lawler (Hse NY-17)(R).

2026 Cycle FEC Data:

https://capitolhillaccess.com/tr/tr_ef_filer?&sFECID=C00859355&sCycle=2026

FEC:...