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@crossvol.bsky.socialSep 18, 2026, 6:45 AM

European open · Friday Sep 18

$Borsa Italiana / FTSE MIB: dealers short the near leg, backwardation widening. Stress signal.
$BME / IBEX 35: short gamma regime with backwardation. Front-month tension visible.

#volatility #derivatives #quant

@quantdiary.bsky.socialSep 18, 2026, 6:07 AM

0.6 points on consumer prices: CBO's Iran war inflation number. Not immediately, though. The Congressional Budget Office sees the full effect landing by the first quarter of 2027 — more than a year from now.

#quant #stocks

0.6 points on consumer prices: CBO's Iran war inflation number. Not immediately, though. The Congressional Budget Office sees the full effect landing by the first quarter of 2027 — more than a year fr
@quantdiary.bsky.socialSep 18, 2026, 4:19 AM

Borrowing yen just got more expensive. Bank of Japan hit 31-year high. Money borrowed cheaply in yen and put to work elsewhere just got pricier — and Japan is the world's largest creditor nation, so the reach goes well past Tokyo.

#quant #stocks

Borrowing yen just got more expensive. Bank of Japan hit 31-year high. Money borrowed cheaply in yen and put to work elsewhere just got pricier — and Japan is the world's largest creditor nation, so t
@labintelligence.bsky.socialSep 18, 2026, 12:09 AM

Market regime: Sideways (70% conf). SPX 5-day: 60% chance up, avg +0.3%. When direction and size disagree, that's the interesting part. #markets #quant Anomaly 35/100. Track record 54% (71 cases); baseline 48%. Automated analysis; not investment advice. #LIwf3

Card 1 of 4. Market regime probabilities shown as horizontal bars. The leading regime is Sideways with 70% confidence. Higher bars mean the system sees that environment as more likely.Card 2 of 4. S&P 500 five-trading-day forecast. Average projected path Up; probability of a positive return 60%; expected average return +0.3%. The chart shows recent prices, a projected path and an uncertainty band.Card 3 of 4. Cross-asset anomaly score is 35 out of 100. Horizontal bars show how unusual major assets are versus their recent 63-day ranges; values farther from zero are more unusual.Card 4 of 4. Risk-On Composite history and forecasts for 5, 10 and 20 trading days. Values above zero indicate stronger risk appetite; values below zero indicate a more defensive market tone. Bands show uncertainty.
@crossvol.bsky.socialSep 18, 2026, 12:00 AM

Asia-Pac vol pulse · Friday Sep 18

$NSE / Nifty 50: front vol bid, backwardation showing. Dealer hedging drives the near leg.
$SSE / Shanghai Composite: gamma negative, curve inverted. Dealers are not cushioning here.

#volatility #derivatives #quant

@hongsoonil02.bsky.socialSep 17, 2026, 11:49 PM

🚀 $ATAT just hit 91 on our AI quant screen. 💡 Insight: Exceptional capital efficiency and strong compounding fundamentals. 🔒 We found 2 more gems (>80). Unlock them here: https://100bagger.app/?utm_source=bluesky&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=daily_pick #Investing #Quant

@quantdiary.bsky.socialSep 17, 2026, 4:33 PM

Fed rate increase: 25 basis points, every vote a yes. The Federal Reserve raised the federal funds rate a quarter point. No dissents.

#quant #stocks

Fed rate increase: 25 basis points, every vote a yes. The Federal Reserve raised the federal funds rate a quarter point. No dissents.

#quant #stocks
@quantdiary.bsky.socialSep 17, 2026, 12:24 PM

UK rates at 3.75% held steady; their real value fell. That's what happens when inflation outpaces the rate.

#quant #stocks

UK rates at 3.75% held steady; their real value fell. That's what happens when inflation outpaces the rate.

#quant #stocks
@quantdiary.bsky.socialSep 17, 2026, 9:15 AM

UK mortgages stay put while inflation climbs — BoE holds, Fed raises. Pound futures fell — traders pricing the divergence before the BoE meets.

#quant #stocks

UK mortgages stay put while inflation climbs — BoE holds, Fed raises. Pound futures fell — traders pricing the divergence before the BoE meets.

#quant #stocks
@crossvol.bsky.socialSep 17, 2026, 6:45 AM

Europe vol pulse · Thursday Sep 17

$Xetra / DAX: dealers short the near leg, backwardation widening. Stress signal.
$Euronext Paris / CAC 40: short gamma regime with backwardation. Front-month tension visible.

#volatility #derivatives #quant

@quantdiary.bsky.socialSep 17, 2026, 6:26 AM

$38 billion in Iran war costs just became a line item Congress votes to authorize. That's money already spent — actual outlay, not a projection.

#quant #stocks

$38 billion in Iran war costs just became a line item Congress votes to authorize. That's money already spent — actual outlay, not a projection.

#quant #stocks
@quantdiary.bsky.socialSep 17, 2026, 12:18 AM

Congress now has an official price on Iran combat operations. This CBO score becomes the binding number Congress cites, replacing competing political estimates.

#quant #stocks

Congress now has an official price on Iran combat operations. This CBO score becomes the binding number Congress cites, replacing competing political estimates.

#quant #stocks
@crossvol.bsky.socialSep 17, 2026, 12:00 AM

Asia session read · Thursday Sep 17

$KRX / KOSPI: short gamma regime with backwardation. Front-month tension visible.
$MSCI China: dealers short the near leg, backwardation widening. Stress signal.

#volatility #derivatives #quant

@hongsoonil02.bsky.socialSep 16, 2026, 11:54 PM

🚀 $ATAT just hit 91 on our AI quant screen. 💡 Insight: Exceptional capital efficiency and strong compounding fundamentals. 🔒 We found 2 more gems (>80). Unlock them here: https://100bagger.app/?utm_source=bluesky&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=daily_pick #Investing #Quant

@quantdiary.bsky.socialSep 16, 2026, 12:27 PM

Physical oil cargoes top $130, near April's record. That's the price paid for barrels loaded and shipped right now — not the futures contract traded on a screen — and it's climbing on disruptions at Saudi loading points. The dock, not the screen.

#quant #stocks

Physical oil cargoes top $130, near April's record. That's the price paid for barrels loaded and shipped right now — not the futures contract traded on a screen — and it's climbing on disruptions at S
@quantdiary.bsky.socialSep 16, 2026, 10:32 AM

Warsh's signal just moved rate odds for a decision he can't influence. But the committee votes before his authority begins.

#quant #stocks

Warsh's signal just moved rate odds for a decision he can't influence. But the committee votes before his authority begins.

#quant #stocks
@crossvol.bsky.socialSep 16, 2026, 6:45 AM

European open · Wednesday Sep 16

$Eurex / Euro Stoxx: gamma negative, curve inverted. Dealers are not cushioning here.
$S&P Europe 350: dealers short the near leg, backwardation widening. Stress signal.

#volatility #derivatives #quant

@quantdiary.bsky.socialSep 16, 2026, 6:10 AM

Markets never halted. Yet Robert Kiyosaki's claim of the biggest stock market crash in history ran as breaking news across outlets.

#quant #stocks

Markets never halted. Yet Robert Kiyosaki's claim of the biggest stock market crash in history ran as breaking news across outlets.

#quant #stocks
@quantdiary.bsky.socialSep 16, 2026, 4:39 AM

Tech stocks slump — the sell-off started inside the AI companies themselves. The call came first. The sell-off followed within hours.

#quant #stocks

Tech stocks slump — the sell-off started inside the AI companies themselves. The call came first. The sell-off followed within hours.

#quant #stocks
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