Two analyst shops cut eGain targets. AI growth didn't cover legacy decline. First B. Riley, then Roth Capital — both landed on the same reason.

#quant #stocks

Kashkari says inflation is everywhere now, not just the pump. Price increases that started with oil are no longer confined to the pump. Not anymore.

#quant #stocks

Asia-Pac vol pulse · Monday Sep 21

$ASX / ASX 200: long gamma, healthy curve. The kind of tape where vol sellers collect.
$TSE / Nikkei: short gamma regime with backwardation. Front-month tension visible.

#volatility #derivatives #quant

3.4% inflation the same week the Fed raised rates. The Fed raised its rate this week, pushing up costs on mortgages, business loans, and refinancing.

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TotalEnergies signs with Venezuela — French crude returns to the largest reserves. TotalEnergies signed the agreement directly with Venezuela's oil minister, Rodríguez.

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One RBA sentence moved the odds on every Australian mortgage rate. RBA Governor Bullock says the inflation risks she flagged earlier are now showing up in the incoming data, the Wall Street Journal reports.

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Fed rate hike raises the base cost of borrowing economy-wide. The Fed raised its benchmark rate — the rate other loans get priced off — and card APRs are tied to it directly. It'll show up on your very next statement. No new paperwork. It just happens.

#quant #stocks

Australia inflation warning runs straight into every mortgage via the cash rate. He's not an outside forecaster. He signs the next rate decision.

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'Late-stage bubble' plus 21%: one person's read, not a consensus signal. Fortune reports one analyst is calling for the decline, pointing to a late-stage bubble in current stock valuations, though the reporting names neither the analyst nor the firm behind the call.

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ECB inflation worsens — variable-rate mortgages in the euro area move first. More tightening is coming.

#quant #stocks

Same Fed benchmark just moved savings yields and card APRs. Move that benchmark once, and both bills shift within weeks. One decision, two separate bills.

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Saudi crude exports to Europe: one month, no cargoes. Saudi Arabia's state producer confirmed no crude allocation for European refiners in the upcoming loading programme — the barrels go to buyers elsewhere instead.

#quant #stocks

Two measures, one signature: Trump sanctions Russia, plus new tariff powers. That authority and new Russia sanctions both come from one law Trump just signed.

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Do Airline Stocks Take Off Around U.S. Holidays?

If holiday travel leaves a seasonal footprint in energy markets, can it also be detected in the stocks of the airlines transporting those travelers?

quantpedia.com/do-airline-s...

#holiday #seasonal #quant #trading #strategy #jets #uso #etf

Russian ESPO now trades $120 — double the G7's price cap. When priced this far above the ceiling, barrels route through non-Western systems.

#quant #stocks

Find my latest scientific quantitative investment research here.

#quant #quantsky #finance #markets #python #science #tailrisk #cvar #cml #montecarlo

Mortgages, credit cards, and loans all got more expensive at once. You see the increase on your billing cycle, not on announcement day.

#quant #stocks