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@westernuntp.bsky.socialSep 20, 2026, 12:47 PM

The NTP has confirmed three tornadoes near the Ontario / Quebec border with storms on August 29. The two Ontario tornadoes in the Mattawa area caused EF2 tree damage while the Quebec tornado at Lac Kennedy resulted in EF1 tree damage.

Details: www.uwo.ca/ntp/blog/202...

#ONstorm #meteoQC See less

@mrwx4caster.bsky.socialSep 20, 2026, 12:23 PM

Once this mess of unsettled weather leaves later today for SONT, the week ahead look's cooler, drier, more stable, less clouds, cool mornings, very comfortable daytime high temps. Looks to be a very nice week in front of us. #onwx #onstorm
(Temp and Rainfall oulook's attached to post)

@mrwx4caster.bsky.socialSep 20, 2026, 3:12 AM

So I look at my script for the NBM, made some quick changes (way too fast-needs some tweaking) and here's Radar 4cast super blend (see previous post) and added cloud cover (50% and up) 4cast for laughs-out to Monday Midnight. #onwx #onstorm

@mrwx4caster.bsky.socialSep 20, 2026, 2:06 AM

May start using the NBM, or add it, the NBM does predictive radar differently by merging & weighting data from over 30 different models, an advanced, calibrated "super-blend" radar simulation. Not as sharp/well define as others, more muted. #onwx #onstorm (from now till 8AM Sun)

@mrwx4caster.bsky.socialSep 20, 2026, 1:45 AM

8PM EDT (00Z) Synoptic “Snapshot” summary of
current atmospheric conditions in S. Ontario
Such as-pressure/temp.-fields/frontal locations. A
total precipitation outlook for the day till Midnight & any active ECCC Alerts at post: None
#onwx #onstorm

@mrwx4caster.bsky.socialSep 20, 2026, 1:44 AM

8PM EDT (00Z) Synoptic “Snapshot” summary of
current atmospheric conditions in N. Ontario
Such as-pressure/temp.-fields/frontal locations. A
total precipitation outlook for the day till Midnight & any active ECCC Alerts at post:
shorturl.at/4kAwi
#onwx #onstorm

@arthurgron.mastodon.social.ap.brid.gySep 19, 2026, 10:44 PM

Saw this old, maybe 250 year old, #tree that came down in #Toronto near Roncesvalles and HIgh Park.

It was a far more destructive storm that happened 2 weeks ago, than people think. #ONStorm #climateChange

I left a coffee cup for scale.

This tree was probably as old as Canada.

1.5m tree trunk stump, with a coffee cup for scale.part of a toppled tree, hollow inside
@mrwx4caster.bsky.socialSep 19, 2026, 3:11 AM

-to save time after a long day, took the latest radar, held it, then advanced the most current HRRR radar advanced it till 3pm Sat. The complex of showers/storms weakens overnight before it enters into SONT. We'll have to wait for the 2nd impulse-Sat/nite into Sun. #onwx #onstorm

@mrwx4caster.bsky.socialSep 19, 2026, 2:03 AM

8PM EDT (00Z) Synoptic “Snapshot” summary of
current atmospheric conditions in S. Ontario
Such as-pressure/temp.-fields/frontal locations. A
total precipitation outlook for the day till Midnight & any active ECCC Alerts at post:
shorturl.at/EdSg8
#onwx #onstorm

@mrwx4caster.bsky.socialSep 19, 2026, 2:02 AM

8PM EDT (00Z) Synoptic “Snapshot” summary of
current atmospheric conditions in N. Ontario
Such as-pressure/temp.-fields/frontal locations. A
total precipitation outlook for the day till Midnight & any active ECCC Alerts at post:
shorturl.at/XL0sD
#onwx #onstorm

@mrwx4caster.bsky.socialSep 18, 2026, 1:09 PM

8AM EDT (12Z) Synoptic “Snapshot” summary of
current atmospheric conditions in S. Ontario
Such as-pressure/temp.-fields/frontal locations. A
total precipitation outlook for the day till Midnight & any active ECCC Alerts at post: None
#onwx #onstorm

@mrwx4caster.bsky.socialSep 18, 2026, 1:08 PM

8AM EDT (12Z) Synoptic “Snapshot” summary of
current atmospheric conditions in N. Ontario
Such as-pressure/temp.-fields/frontal locations. A
total precipitation outlook for the day till Midnight & any active ECCC Alerts at post:
shorturl.at/bLgkS - Frost
#onwx #onstorm

@mrwx4caster.bsky.socialSep 18, 2026, 1:00 AM

8PM EDT (00Z) Synoptic “Snapshot” summary of
current atmospheric conditions in S. Ontario
Such as-pressure/temp.-fields/frontal locations. A
total precipitation outlook for the day till Midnight & any active ECCC Alerts at post: None
#onwx #onstorm

@mrwx4caster.bsky.socialSep 18, 2026, 12:59 AM

8PM EDT (00Z) Synoptic “Snapshot” summary of
current atmospheric conditions in N. Ontario
Such as-pressure/temp.-fields/frontal locations. A
total precipitation outlook for the day till Midnight & any active ECCC Alerts at post:
shorturl.at/rnLeA -Frost
#onwx #onstorm

@mrwx4caster.bsky.socialSep 17, 2026, 12:59 PM

8AM EDT (12Z) Synoptic “Snapshot” summary of
current atmospheric conditions in S. Ontario
Such as-pressure/temp.-fields/frontal locations. A
total precipitation outlook for the day till Midnight & any active ECCC Alerts at post: None
#onwx #onstorm

@mrwx4caster.bsky.socialSep 17, 2026, 12:58 PM

8AM EDT (12Z) Synoptic “Snapshot” summary of
current atmospheric conditions in N. Ontario
Such as-pressure/temp.-fields/frontal locations. A
total precipitation outlook for the day till Midnight & any active ECCC Alerts at post: None
#onwx #onstorm

@mrwx4caster.bsky.socialSep 17, 2026, 2:03 AM

...as for rainfall for the rest of the week till Sat. 8AM some model comparison outlooks. Really not seeing any sig. rainfall for the rest of the week for SONT. #onwx #onstorm

@mrwx4caster.bsky.socialSep 17, 2026, 1:44 AM

Latest hourly run of the HRRR -Radar + cloud (50% and up) 4cast, from ~now till 1PM Thurs. Generally unsettled pattern, with variable clouds, mix of sun/cloud, chances of widely scat. showers -the bulk of the activity remains south of the lower lakes. #onwx #onstorm

@mrwx4caster.bsky.socialSep 17, 2026, 1:25 AM

8PM EDT (00Z) Synoptic “Snapshot” summary of
current atmospheric conditions in S. Ontario
Such as-pressure/temp.-fields/frontal locations. A
total precipitation outlook for overnight till 8AM next day & any active ECCC alerts at post:None #onwx #onstorm

@mrwx4caster.bsky.socialSep 17, 2026, 1:23 AM

8PM EDT (00Z) Synoptic “Snapshot” summary of
current atmospheric conditions in N. Ontario
Such as-pressure/temp.-fields/frontal locations. A
total precipitation outlook for overnight till 8AM next day & any active ECCC Alerts at post:None #onwx #onstorm