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@cover-1analytics.bsky.social Sep 29, 2026, 1:52 PM

Nobody can run the ball right now. Buffalo has the best rush offense in the league through 3 weeks at just +0.07 EPA/play, barely positive. Green Bay is the extreme outlier in the other direction at -0.47. Meanwhile San Francisco's pass offense (+0.62) is off on its own.

nflverse #NFL #NFLStats

Scatter chart of all 32 NFL offenses through Week 3 of the 2026 season, rush EPA per play (x-axis) vs. pass EPA per play (y-axis), team logos as markers. San Francisco leads in pass EPA at +0.62, well ahead of the pack. Buffalo has the best rush EPA at just +0.07; Green Bay is lowest at -0.47. Nearly every team is in negative rush EPA territory.

@cover-1analytics.bsky.social Sep 29, 2026, 12:49 PM

Brock Purdy is in a class of his own through 3 weeks: +0.66 EPA/dropback, nearly double 2nd place (Lamar Jackson and Josh Allen, both +0.34). Bottom of the list: Baker Mayfield, Aaron Rodgers, Daniel Jones.

nflverse #NFL #NFLStats

@uthinkuknowsports.bsky.social Sep 28, 2026, 5:19 PM

Here are my NFL grades for week 3, including A+s for Cleveland, Washington, Denver, and others. Dallas, after blowing the game to Baltimore, gets a "D". Four teams get "F" grades. #nfl #nflanalysis #nfltok #nflstats

@breakingnews06.bsky.social Sep 28, 2026, 2:59 PM

Fantasy Football: Percentage of carries for Jeremiyah Love in Week 3, plus 9 more key stats that may go overlooked #FantasyFootball #NFLStats #JeremiyahLove #FantasyAdvice #FootballAnalytics

@cover-1analytics.bsky.social Sep 26, 2026, 11:50 PM

Best offenses of Week 2 by EPA/play:

1. #Bills +0.33
2. #49ers +0.30
3. #Cowboys +0.26
4. #Lions +0.23
5. #Colts +0.20

One game each.

nflverse #NFL #NFLStats

@cover-1analytics.bsky.social Sep 26, 2026, 10:56 PM

Best defense of Week 2 by EPA/play allowed: the #Panthers at -0.47, well clear of the #Patriots (-0.29), #Seahawks (-0.26), #Rams and #Bengals (-0.25). One game each, so a one-Sunday story.

nflverse #NFL #NFLStats

@cover-1analytics.bsky.social Sep 26, 2026, 9:53 PM

Completion rate by field zone through Week 2: throws 10-15 yards over the middle connect 71% of the time, vs. 53% to the left and 60% to the right. Behind the line of scrimmage to the left: 84%.

nflverse #NFL #NFLStats

Chart of league-wide completion percentage by field zone through Week 2 of the 2026 season: three lateral zones (left, middle, right) by six depth bands from behind the line of scrimmage to 25 yards. Each zone is a hexagon sized by attempt volume and colored from red (low completion rate, 38%) to green (high, 84%). Throws 10 to 15 yards over the middle complete 71% of the time versus 53% to the left and 60% to the right; throws behind the line of scrimmage to the left complete 84%.

@cover-1analytics.bsky.social Sep 26, 2026, 8:43 PM

The #Steelers rank 2nd-toughest against WRs and 26th against RBs in fantasy points allowed, so #Bengals RB Chase Brown gets the biggest RB matchup upgrade this week (+24). The biggest drop: 49ers RB Kaelon Black (-27). Two-game sample.

nflverse #NFL #NFLStats

Arrow chart of the biggest fantasy schedule swings for NFL running backs between Week 2 and Week 3 of the 2026 season. Each row shows the run-defense rank, by fantasy points allowed to running backs (1 = toughest, 32 = easiest), of the opponent a back just faced and the one he faces next. Largest upgrades: Chase Brown (Bengals) from Houston (#2) to Pittsburgh (#26), +24; Ashton Jeanty (Raiders) from the Chargers (#10) to the Saints (#27), +17; Javonte Williams (Cowboys) and Omarion Hampton (Chargers), +16; David Montgomery (Texans), +15. Largest downgrades: Kaelon Black (49ers) from Miami (#32) to Arizona (#5), -27; Jahmyr Gibbs (Lions) from Buffalo (#28) to the Jets (#3), -25; Bhayshul Tuten (Jaguars), -21; Jacory Croskey-Merritt (Commanders), -18; Jonathan Taylor (Colts), -16.

@cover-1analytics.bsky.social Sep 26, 2026, 7:46 PM

The #Vikings are blitzing on 78% of dropbacks through Week 2, more than double the league rate (32%). #Buccaneers (49%) and #Panthers (44%) are next. The fewest: #Bengals at 11%, who visit the #Steelers (25%) Sunday. Two games, so small samples.

FTN Data / nflverse #NFL #NFLStats

@cover-1analytics.bsky.social Sep 26, 2026, 7:05 PM

Tougher Sunday for two QBs: #Bengals' Joe Burrow, from the 28th-ranked pass defense (HOU) to the 2nd (#Steelers), and #Commanders' Jayden Daniels, 27th to 1st (#Seahawks). Biggest upgrade: #Chargers' Justin Herbert at Buffalo (30th). QB fantasy points allowed, 2 games.

nflverse #NFL #NFLStats

Arrow chart of the biggest fantasy schedule swings for NFL starting quarterbacks between Week 2 and Week 3 of the 2026 season. Each row shows the pass-defense rank, by fantasy points allowed to quarterbacks (1 = toughest, 32 = easiest), of the opponent a quarterback just faced and the one he faces next. Largest upgrades: Justin Herbert (Chargers) from the Raiders (#3) to the Bills (#30), +27; Daniel Jones (Colts) from the Chiefs (#6) to the Texans (#28), +22; C.J. Stroud (Texans) from the Bengals (#10) to the Colts (#31), +21; Geno Smith (Jets) from the Packers (#18) to the Lions (#32), +14; Lamar Jackson (Ravens) from the Saints (#14) to the Cowboys (#27), +13. Largest downgrades: Joe Burrow (Bengals) from the Texans (#28) to the Steelers (#2), -26, and Jayden Daniels (Commanders) from the Cowboys (#27) to the Seahawks (#1), -26; Jared Goff (Lions) from the Bills (#30) to the Jets (#11), -19; Matthew Stafford (Rams) from the Giants (#26) to the Broncos (#8), -18; Tyler Shough (Saints) from the Ravens (#17) to the Raiders (#3), -14.

@cover-1analytics.bsky.social Sep 26, 2026, 2:02 AM

Tough draw for Tee Higgins: after the 29th-ranked WR defense last week (HOU), he gets the 2nd-ranked one Sunday, the #Steelers. Biggest downgrade on the board (-27). Biggest upgrades: Josh Downs and Quentin Johnston (+26). Ranks by WR fantasy points allowed, 2 games.

nflverse #NFL #NFLStats

Bar chart of fantasy schedule swings for team-leading wide receivers between Week 2 and Week 3 of the 2026 season, measured as the change in the rank of the pass defense faced (1 = toughest, 32 = easiest) by fantasy points allowed to wide receivers. The largest upgrades are Josh Downs (Indianapolis) and Quentin Johnston (Chargers) at +26, followed by Deebo Samuel (+21), Xavier Hutchinson (+20) and DeMario Douglas (+15). The largest downgrades are Tee Higgins (Bengals, -27), Xavier Worthy (-23), Amon-Ra St. Brown (-21), Davante Adams (-18) and Stefon Diggs (-17).

@cover-1analytics.bsky.social Sep 26, 2026, 1:01 AM

Red zone TD rate through Week 2:

#49ers 88% (7/8)
#Cowboys 86% (6/7)
#Colts 83% (5/6)
#Chargers 80% (4/5)
#Vikings 80% (4/5)

Tiny samples, big swings.

nflverse #NFL #NFLStats

Bar chart of the five NFL offenses with the highest red zone touchdown rate through Week 2 of the 2026 season: San Francisco 88% (7 of 8 trips), Dallas 86% (6 of 7), Indianapolis 83% (5 of 6), and both the Chargers and Vikings 80% (4 of 5).

@cover-1analytics.bsky.social Sep 26, 2026, 12:02 AM

The #Rams are running a different sport. Their median carry goes for 5 yards through Week 2; no other busy rushing offense is above 4. The #Lions, #Patriots and #Eagles: 2.

nflverse #NFL #NFLStats

Box-and-strip chart of rushing yards per carry for the 14 NFL teams with the most rushing attempts through Week 2 of the 2026 season, one box per team ordered by median gain. The Rams lead at a median of 5 yards per carry, Atlanta is next at 4, and the Lions, Patriots and Eagles are lowest at 2.

@cover-1analytics.bsky.social Sep 25, 2026, 11:01 PM

3.5 to 7: the range of median air yards among the 14 busiest passing offenses through Week 2. #Packers deepest (7), #Colts shallowest (3.5), and 11 of the 14 sit between 4 and 6. The median throw is a short one.

nflverse #NFL #NFLStats

Box-and-strip chart of the distribution of air yards per pass for the 14 NFL teams with the most pass attempts through Week 2 of the 2026 season, one box per team ordered from the deepest median target to the shallowest. Green Bay's median is 7 air yards, Carolina 6.5, and Indianapolis the shallowest at 3.5; most teams' medians fall between 4 and 6.

@cover-1analytics.bsky.social Sep 25, 2026, 9:56 PM

#Cowboys QB Dak Prescott is completing passes 13 points above expectation, the best CPOE in the league through Week 2. Brock Purdy (+11.6), Trevor Lawrence (+10.1) and Jalen Hurts (+10.0) are next. At the other end of the board: #Packers QB Jordan Love, -11.3.

nflverse #NFL #NFLStats

Bar chart of the top five NFL quarterbacks by completion percentage over expected through Week 2 of the 2026 season (minimum 40 attempts): Dak Prescott of Dallas +13.0, Brock Purdy of San Francisco +11.6, Trevor Lawrence of Jacksonville +10.1, Jalen Hurts of Philadelphia +10.0, and Bryce Young of Carolina +9.1.

@cover-1analytics.bsky.social Sep 25, 2026, 7:12 PM

Where is the passing game creating value? Through Week 2, the sweet spot is 10-15 yards over the middle (+0.87 EPA/att). Throws behind the line are costly everywhere, worst in the middle (-0.35). Green = efficient, red = costly, size = volume.

nflverse #NFL #NFLStats

Chart of league-wide passing efficiency by field zone through Week 2 of the 2026 season: three lateral zones (left, middle, right) by six depth bands from behind the line of scrimmage to 25 yards. Each zone is a hexagon sized by attempt volume and colored from red (negative) to green (positive) by EPA per attempt. The most valuable zone is the middle at 10-15 yards (+0.87). Throws behind the line of scrimmage are negative in every lateral zone, worst in the middle (-0.35).

@cover-1analytics.bsky.social Sep 25, 2026, 6:21 PM

Who loves their tight ends? Through Week 2, the #Giants send 38% of their targets to a TE and the #Cardinals 37%. The #Seahawks are the opposite: 10% to tight ends, 44% to their WR1, the most in the league.

nflverse #NFL #NFLStats

100%-stacked bar chart of every NFL team's share of targets by receiving role (WR1, WR2, WR3+, TE, RB) through Week 2 of the 2026 season, sorted alphabetically by team. Seattle sends the largest share to its top receiver (44%). The Giants (38%) and Cardinals (37%) send the most to tight ends, and Seattle the fewest (10%).

@cover-1analytics.bsky.social Sep 25, 2026, 5:11 PM

Which offenses keep the chains moving? The #Cowboys convert 85% of their series into a new set of downs, with the #49ers and #Bills at 83%. The #Steelers and #Falcons are last at 56%. League average: 70%. Two games, so grain of salt.

nflverse #NFL #NFLStats

Cumulative stacked bar chart of all 32 NFL offenses through Week 2 of the 2026 season, showing the share of series that convert to a new set of downs by 1st, 2nd, 3rd and 4th down, sorted from highest to lowest overall rate. Dallas leads at 85%, followed by San Francisco and Buffalo at 83%. Pittsburgh and Atlanta are last at 56%. Each bar's overall rate is printed at its end.

@cover-1analytics.bsky.social Sep 25, 2026, 4:12 PM

Running the ball is tough sledding early. Through Week 2, only 6 of 32 offenses have positive rush EPA/play vs. 21 with positive pass EPA. Best on the ground: #Chiefs (+0.18), #Colts (+0.16). Worst: #Chargers (-0.48) and #Packers (-0.47).

nflverse #NFL #NFLStats

Scatter chart of all 32 NFL offenses through Week 2 of the 2026 season, plotting rush EPA per play (x-axis) against pass EPA per play (y-axis), team logos as markers. Buffalo and San Francisco lead in pass EPA (about +0.5) and Atlanta is lowest (about -0.67). Kansas City (+0.18) and Indianapolis (+0.16) lead in rush EPA, and the Chargers and Packers are lowest (about -0.48 and -0.47). Only 6 of 32 teams have positive rush EPA, while 21 have positive pass EPA.

@cover-1analytics.bsky.social Sep 25, 2026, 3:10 PM

Which NFL defenses are actually stopping people? Through Week 2: #Steelers best against the pass (-0.35), #Raiders best against the run (-0.50). Worst: #Giants through the air (+0.46), #Broncos on the ground (+0.17). Lower is better on both axes.

nflverse #NFL #NFLStats

Scatter chart of all 32 NFL defenses through Week 2 of the 2026 season, plotting rush EPA per play allowed (x-axis) against pass EPA per play allowed (y-axis), team logos as markers; lower is better on both axes. Pittsburgh has the lowest pass EPA allowed at about -0.35, and Las Vegas the lowest rush EPA allowed at about -0.50. The Giants and Dolphins allow the most pass EPA, and Denver the most rush EPA.