Key Mover for Sep 25: $IWM (▲0.11%)
Small caps materially lagged the broader market, up only 0.11% on the day and down 5.77% over 22 days.

Another of my favourites from Wartime Ghost Stories for the Imperial War Museums. #illustration #ww2 #IWM #joesbrushset #procreate

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🚀 #IWM
💰 Buy Signal @ 282.31
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$IWM 0DTE setup:

Spot $283, pinned at Max Pain ($283) with dealers long gamma (+$0.09B). Flip just $1 below at $282, tension building.

Calls bid rich: skew flipped from +6.5 to -4.7pts in 90 minutes. Whale flow hit the $360C (669x Vol/OI) and $283C (12.8x).

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That pattern is consistent with a narrow risk-on pocket rather than broad market participation, especially with equal weight lagging ($RSP -0.5%), small caps weak ($IWM -0.1%, down 5.5% over 22 days), and value/cyclicals still under pressure.

Market Observation for Sep 23:
Tech leadership narrowed but persisted beneath the index decline, with $IGV up 1.3% while $QQQ outperformed $IWM by roughly 1 point on the day and by nearly 9 points over 22 days.

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💰 Buy Signal @ 287.04
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One of my favourites from Wartime Ghost Stories for the Imperial War Museums. This one is the Angels of Mons. It was said they appeared to help the British army in World War 1. #illustration #IWM #WW1

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Weekend vol read · Monday Sep 21

$IWM. Implied vol has compressed and the market is no longer pricing anything.
The kind of tape where volatility often pays well to buy.

Details ↓

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The contrast with $SPY (-0.12%), $RSP (-0.48%), $IWM (-0.47%), and $DIA (-0.48%) points to narrow leadership rather than broad participation.

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First 45min of price action 🩸
#SPY #QQQ #IWM

Still, the move did not fully repair the recent damage: only 27.8% of stocks are positive over 10 days, and small caps continue to lag, with $IWM up just 0.53% today and still down 6.13% over 22 days.

Market Observation for Sep 17:
Small-cap participation lagged large caps, as $IWM rose 0.53% versus $SPY at 1.13% and $QQQ at 1.73%.

Index ETFs reflected that split: $SPY fell 0.44%, $DIA dropped 1.15%, and small caps lagged with $IWM down 0.43%, while the Nasdaq complex held up better as $QQQ was essentially flat and $XLK gained 0.10%. Leadership was selective.

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🚀 #IWM
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