[Opinion] #EUEconomy: How bad does it have to get for the #ECB to save #France? By @westervangaal.bsky.social | EUObserver
euobserver.com/241347/how-b...

Gouverneur Banque de France: “Frankrijk heeft geen ECB-noodhulp nodig” #Frankrijk #ECB #noodhulp #economische #situatie

The chart is consistent with that thesis, but it does not prove it. It presents forecasts of growth and primary balances as supporting evidence; the actual evolution of #spreads will also depend on interest rates, political developments, market sentiment and the #ECB 's response to financial stress.

A #euro crisis redux with #France at its centre would demand a massive response from the #ECB to prevent spillovers and insulate the single currency, chart @reutersmiked.bsky.social charts www.reuters.com/commentary/r...

#crisis #ECB #energy #Europe #HomeOfTheFree 🇪🇺 #France
🌐 www.newsmart.ch

Eurozone inflation climbed to 3.8% in September, driven by higher fuel and gas costs and reinforcing expectations for further ECB tightening.

#Eurozone #Inflation #ECB #InterestRates

The euro at $1.1220 and French-German spreads at 14-year highs raise the question of when the ECB stops watching and starts acting.

#Bonds #ECB #Economy #Euro #France #Spain

Didn't know the #ECB has a podcast:

📉 EUR/USD: The Euro’s Slide Could Drag On for Months

uk.investing.com/analysis/eur...
@investlngcom.bsky.social

#Euro #EURUSD #Forex #Markets #Investing #France #Spain #ECB

📉 EUR/USD: The Euro’s Slide Could Drag On for Months

uk.investing.com/analysis/eur... @investlngcom.bsky.social @nigeljgreen.bsky.social

#Euro #EURUSD #Forex #Markets #Investing #France #Spain #ECB

France's Fiscal Woes Spill Over Into Euro Territory as EUR/USD Hits 17-Month Low

France's deepening budget troubles are increasingly weighing on the euro, with EUR/USD sliding to a 17-month low near 1.1160. Rising French-German bond spreads are…

#bondspreads #ecb #eurusd #euro

#ECB 's monetary tightening reduces demand and investment, whereas it does little to repair the original supply constraint.

The #ECB is using a demand-side instrument on a supply-side problem inside a currency union where the instrument transmits unevenly, so the cost of the hikes falls disproportionately on the member states least able to offset them.

#doodle
#ECB has raised interest rates 2x (June and Sept) so far this year
2011: Trichet's 2 rate hikes were followed by #Italian and #Spanish stress and reversal within months. It is what makes a #spread move feel like regime risk rather than ordinary risk repricing.

No wonder: The #Fed chair isn't offering any forward guidance, and the #ECB president is speculating about her early departure from office. The market has no supportive guardrails.