@jonah333.bsky.social#British #Jews feel unsafe & history shows #Gaza isn’t a genocide.
"The language of genocide is being misapplied to Gaza &
that #historical #ignorance, social media & political #polarisation are fuelling a new strain of #antisemitism
on #both #left & #right.'
@simon437.bsky.socialLao Tzu knew water carves granite not by force, but by yielding. It is the Tao in liquid form. While the ego mimics a stone wall, true power flows like a river through the ruins of a Demiurge’s rigid design. Softness consumes hardness. #Simon #gnostic #taoism
@acentotv.bsky.socialEl Papa, operado: lo que dicen las portadas del mundo hoy #PapaLeónXIV #DonaldTrump #Simon #Mexico acentotv.acento.com.do/quiosquito/e...
@edomexaldia.bsky.socialHuracán Simon y tormenta Trudy generan lluvias fuertes en México #Simon #Trudy edomexaldia.com/autoridades-...
@nhc.weather.imHurricane #Simon ADVISORY 29 issued. #Simon weakens while drifting southwestward. Link
@bnorcross.comTROPICS UPDATE: Musing about the question of the moment: Was it a 'sting jet' or not that produced the strong gusts in #Isaias? And #Simon and Trudy continue to ignore the forecasts as the storms find pockets with no steering currents. More at hurricaneintel.com
@nhc.weather.imHurricane #Simon ADVISORY 28 issued. Compact #Simon drifting southwestward. Link
@co2klima.bsky.socialPazifik:
Hurrikan #Simon schwächt sich ab,
Hurrikan #Trudy kommt.
Mit einem extrem starken #ElNino in Kombination mit dem #Klimawandel muss viel Wärme und Energie vom Äquator nach Norden transportiert werden.
Unterlassener #Klimaschutz wird teuer.
@nhc.weather.imHurricane #Simon ADVISORY 27 issued. Interests there and baja california sur should continue to monitor the hurricane. Link
@pppapin.bsky.socialAnyway, this is my attempt to sum it up today in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion for #Hurricane #Simon.
Simon has been one of the more difficult track forecast events I have done & its why I spent time trying to explain the components.
Thanks for coming to my TED talk.
Fin.
@pppapin.bsky.socialThat brings us to the dramatic shift seen in ensemble guidance for #Simon over the past day.
In the Google DeepMind ensemble, we saw a nearly 180 degree shift in forecast track direction. ↗️ to ↙️
I suspect it is due to track errors shifting the TC position from N to S of steering saddle point.
@pppapin.bsky.socialWe can contrast this with a model that had a pretty good initialization.
The 12z HWRF model initilization was actually close to the correct location of #Simon. This is likely why it falls S of the saddle point and then tracks it further south.
@pppapin.bsky.socialThe saddle point is nearly identical, but #Simon's location was not. This is a case where good model init is essential to important to capturing the short-term track correctly. The 12z ECMWF initialization nearly a full degree too far N with Simon & likely why it falls N of saddle point.
@pppapin.bsky.socialA follow up thread to illustrate how sensitive #Hurricane #Simon's initial position to the col or "saddle point" was to its track.
Compare forecasts of GFS & ECMWF w/ these steering diagnostics via weathernerds.org.
GFS S of saddle & moves TC ↙️
ECMWF N of saddle & moves TC ↗️
@simon437.bsky.socialZhuangzi woke from a butterfly dream, but maybe a butterfly now dreams he is a man. This flux mirrors Maya in the Upanishads. Stop clutching a fixed identity. Let the boundaries dissolve into Tao. #Simon #taoism #hinduism
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