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@disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gyOct 15, 2026, 4:47 PM

#FEMA #Disasters

Tropical Outlook Atlantic Eastern and Central Pacific Western Pacific National Watch Center1 (near 100%)1 (60%)Tropical Depression Champi: (Advisory #4, as of 5:00 a.m. ET) ▪Located 895 miles E of Guam ▪Moving WNW at 10 mph ▪Maximum sustained winds of 35 mph ▪Champi is forecast to maintain intensity over the next few days, possibly becoming a tropical storm later this evening and a typhoon Saturday Remnants of 28W: (Advisory #14, as of 5:00 a.m. ET) ▪Located 690 miles NNW of Guam ▪Moving W at 7 mph ▪Maximum sustained winds at 30 mph ▪28W is forecast to maintain intensity through tonight, then weaken Saturday, possibly dissipating as a significant tropical cycloneGuam Hurricane Trudy (CAT -1): (Advisory #8, as of 5:00 a.m. ET) ▪Located 300 miles SSW of Acapulco, Mexico ▪Moving NW at 9 mph ▪Maximum sustained winds of 75 mph ▪Hurricane -force winds extend outward up to 25 miles from the center; tropical -storm -force winds extend outward up to 115 miles from center ▪Rapid strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days, and Trudy is expected to become a major hurricane tomorrow Tropical Storm Simon: (Advisory #32, as of 5:00 a.m. ET) ▪Located 200 miles WSW of Cabo Corrientes, Mexico ▪Moving is stationary ▪Maximum sustained winds of 60 mph ▪Gradual weakening is expected during the next few days, and Simon is forecast to become a post -tropical remnant low by late this weekend Disturbance 1: (as of 8:00 a.m. ET) ▪Located offshore southern Mexico ▪Condit
@disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gyOct 15, 2026, 4:47 PM

#FEMA #Disasters

Federal Emergency Management Agency Event Monitoring: ▪No new significant eventsHazard Monitoring: ▪Heavy Rain / Flash Flooding – Southern Plains ▪Critical Fire Weather – Southern California ▪Tropical Activity: oEastern Pacific: •Hurricane Trudy (CAT -1) •Tropical Storm Simon •Disturbance 1: Low (30%) oWestern Pacific: •Tropical Depression Champi •Remnants of 28WNational Current Operations / Monitoring National Watch CenterNew Significant Incidents / Ongoing Operations: ▪Tropical Depression Champi – Guam and CNMI Disaster Declaration Activity: ▪No new declaration activity
@disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gyOct 15, 2026, 4:47 PM

#FEMA #Disasters

Daily Operations Briefing Thursday, October 15, 2026 8:30 a.m. ETFEMA National Watch Center
@aussienews.bsky.socialOct 15, 2026, 7:40 AM

At least 17 students under the age of 13 and one teacher have been killed when a school roof collapsed in Pakistan's Peshawar city. #disasters #accidents #emergency #incidents

@shewandersferal.mu.socialOct 14, 2026, 10:53 AM

They don’t care

Their focus is *getting themselves situated* for the onrushing #disasters to come…

🎼Everybody saw the gauges.
Every warning crossed the screen.
Then they fired the ones who measured
what the rising numbers mean 🎶

#AlibiCabaret

@aussienews.bsky.socialOct 14, 2026, 1:00 AM

Nine roller-coasters have been closed across the US and Canada as new information emerges about the death of a 42-year-old man. #disasters #accidents #emergency #incidents

@disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gyOct 13, 2026, 8:44 PM

#FEMA #Disasters

Scan to subscribe to thisbriefing . Helping people before, during, and after disasters.
@disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gyOct 13, 2026, 8:43 PM

#FEMA #Disasters

National Watch CenterDeclaration Requests in Process – 6 State / Tribe / Territory – Incident Description Type IA PA HM Requested IN – Severe Storms, Straight -line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding DR X X X Aug 6 NE – Severe Storm, Straight -line Winds, and Flooding – Appeal DR X X Aug 31 KS – Severe Storm and Straight -line Winds DR X X Sep 15 RST1 – Severe Storms and Straight -line Winds DR X X X Sep 29 WA – Wildfires DR X X X Oct 2 CTBYN2 – Wildfires DR X X X Oct 1 1 Rosebud Sioux Tribe; 2 Confederated Tribes and Bands of the Yakama Nation
@disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gyOct 13, 2026, 8:43 PM

#FEMA #Disasters

National Watch CenterJoint Preliminary Damage Assessments RegionState / LocationEventIA Number of CountiesStart – EndPA Requested Complete R1 CTSevere Storm & Flooding Sep 13IA 0 0 N/A PA 1 0 9/30 – TBD R2 NYNor’easter Sep 26 -27IA 0 0 N/A PA 2 0 TBD – TBD R6 NMSevere Flooding Sep 28 -ContinuingIA 0 0 N/A PA 15 0 10/13 - TBD R7KSSevere Storms Sep 30 -Oct 2IA 0 0 N/A PA 12 0 TBD – TBD NEHeavy Rainfall Sep 30 -Oct 1IA 2 0 10/7 – TBD PA 11 0 10/7 – TBD R9 NN1 Flooding Sep 15 -18IA 1 0 10/6 – TBD PA 1 0 10/6 – TBD R10 CTCR2Wildfires Jul 16 -Aug 25IA 1 1 (+1) 9/14 – 10/6 PA 1 1 (+1) 9/14 – 10/61Pueblo of Zuni *Rosebud Sioux Tribe 1Navajo Nation; 2Confederated Tribes of the Colville Reservation
@disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gyOct 13, 2026, 8:43 PM

#FEMA #Disasters

National Readiness National Watch Center NRCC N-IMAT Red N-IMAT White N-IMAT Blue N-IMAT Gold N-IMAT HSRegional Readiness National Notes Legend Fully Mission Capable Partially Mission Capable Requires Augmentation Deployed/ActivatedCommodities & EquipmentRRCC Watch IMAT Water Meals GeneratorsCONUS Hawaii Caribbean GuamRegion 1 Region 2 Region 3 Region 4 Region 5 Region 6 Region 7 Region 8 Region 9 Region 10National Watch Center Common Operating Picture National Watch Center: •Staffing NRCC: •Activated: TC Isaias National IMATs: •N-IMAT Red: Staffing •N-IMAT White: Staffing •N-IMAT Blue: TC Isaias FCO US&R MERS Det. 30/36 OperationalSMT 4/6 Maynard 6/6 Frederick 6/6 Thomasville 6/6 Denton 4/6 Denver 4/6 BothellOperational Requires Augmentation Deployed11/11 3/11 1/11Assigned Non-FEMA Deployed FEMA -Deployed Not Mission Capable Available FEMA Support Staff28 2 4 0 22Assigned Not Mission Capable Deployed Available2 432 (28 FCOR ) 11/2138Regional Notes Watches/RRCCs: •R2 Watch: Equipment •R3 RRCC: TC Isaias •R4 RRCC: TC Isaias •R5 Watch: Staffing •R10 RRCC: Staffing IMATs: •R1: TC Isaias •R4-1: TC Isaias (ETA 10/09) •R4-2: TC Isaias •R5: 4945 -DR-OH •R7: Staffing •R8: 4941 -DR-OST •R9-1: 3652 -EM-HI/4909 -DR- HI/4936 -DR-HI/3654 -EM-HI •R9-2: 4910 -DR-MP •R10: Reconstituting / StaffingState EOCs: •CO/UT: Wildfires •IL/TX: Severe Weather •MP: TC Bavi/Saudel •PR/VA: Drought •IN: 4933 -DR-IN/3651 -EM-IN •HI: Tropical Activity •FL/AL/GA/MS/KY/ NC: TC Isaias •NV: TC Rachel
@disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gyOct 13, 2026, 8:43 PM

#FEMA #Disasters

6-10 Day Temperature Probability 6-10 Day Precipitation Probability National Watch CenterLong Range Outlooks – Oct 17 -21
@disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gyOct 13, 2026, 8:43 PM

#FEMA #Disasters

National Watch CenterPrecipitation & Excessive Rainfall Mon -Wed Tue WedMon
@disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gyOct 13, 2026, 8:43 PM

#FEMA #Disasters

National Weather Forecast National Watch CenterWed Mon Tue
@disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gyOct 13, 2026, 8:43 PM

#FEMA #Disasters

Hurricane Simon (CAT -3) – Eastern Pacific Situation: (Advisory # 20A, as of 8:00 a.m. ET) ▪Located 50 miles WSW of Cabo Corrientes , Mexico ▪Moving NW at 2 mph, maximum sustained winds of 115 mph ▪Hurricane -force winds extend outward up to 15 miles from center; Tropical -storm -force winds extend outward up to 60 miles from center ▪Some additional weakening is forecast ; however , Simon is expected to remain a hurricane through midweek ▪Rapid weakening is likely after Simon moves inlandBlack borders / No shadows Graphic size – 4.3 Instead of repeating storm name, all tropics will have Situation headers. Include Watches / Warning , and/or Hazards affecting land when warranted. For Hurricanes put category in the title line National Watch CenterGUAM
@disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gyOct 13, 2026, 8:43 PM

#FEMA #Disasters

Tropical Depression 28W – Western Pacific Situation: (Advisory # 2, as of 5:00 a.m. ET) ▪Located 390 miles NE of Guam ▪Maximum sustained winds remain at 30 mph ▪28W is forecast to maintain this intensity and remain a tropical depression during its passage near the Far Northern MarianasBlack borders / No shadows Graphic size – 4.3 Instead of repeating storm name, all tropics will have Situation headers. Include Watches / Warning , and/or Hazards affecting land when warranted. For Hurricanes put category in the title line National Watch CenterGUAMGuam
@disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gyOct 13, 2026, 8:43 PM

#FEMA #Disasters

Tropical Outlook Atlantic Eastern and Central Pacific Western Pacific National Watch Center1 (near 100%)1 (60%)Disturbance 1: (as of 8:00 a.m. ET) ▪Located a few hundred miles W of Cabo Verde Islands ▪Moving N to NNW ▪Environmental conditions are marginally conducive for development over the next day or two ▪Formation chance – 48-hour: Low (20%); 7 -day: Low (20%)Tropical Depression 28W: (Advisory #2, as of 5:00 a.m. ET) ▪See slide below Invest 96W: (as of 2:00 a.m. ET) ▪Located 168 miles ESE of Ujelang ▪Maximum sustained winds of 15 -21 mph ▪Formation chance – 24-hour: LowGuam Hurricane Simon (CAT -3): (Advisory # 20A, as of 8:00 a.m. ET) ▪See slide below Disturbance 1: (as of 8:00 a.m. ET) ▪Located S of Guatemala , moving WNW at 10 mph ▪Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for further development ▪A tropical depression is expected to form well south of southern Mexico in a few days ▪Formation chance – 48-hour: Med (60%); 7-day: High (90%)2 (0%) 1 (near 100%) 1 (90%)Tropical cyclone activity is not expected to threaten U.S. territories.Tropical cyclone activity is not expected to threaten U.S. territories. 2 (0%) 1 (10%) 2 (near 0%)1 (90%) 1 (90%) 1 (20%)1 (80%) Tropical cyclone activity is not expected to threaten U.S. territories.1 (90%) Guam 1 (30%)1 (near 100%)
@disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gyOct 13, 2026, 8:42 PM

#FEMA #Disasters

Tropical Cyclone Isaias – Gulf Coast Align text/graphic with first dot under grey line FMAG Slides: Graphic on the right. Situation on the left Response in the center Impacts in the table above. Align text boxes “top”, then group all three…and align “center”. Position with the same gap between the table and graphic as the gap between the table and grey line National Watch Center The NWC will continue to monitor in coordination with Regions 4 and 6, with continued reporting twice daily in the FEMA National Situation Report (5:00 p.m. ET / 3:00 a.m. ET) and the FEMA Daily Operations Briefing (8:30 a.m. ET) The NWC will continue to monitor in coordination with FEMA Region s 3 and 4, with continued reporting in the FEMA National Situation Report (3:00 a.m. ET / 5:00 p.m. ET) and the FEMA Daily Operations Briefing (8:30 a.m. ET)Federal / FEMA Response : (FEMA Region 4 SLB #4, as of 7:00 p.m. ET, Oct 11) FEMA Region 3: (R3 DSAR, as of 6:00 a.m. ET) ▪Watch is Monitoring; RRCC is at Enhanced Watch (TC Isaias) FEMA Region 4: ▪Watch is Monitoring; RRCC is Activated ▪R-IMAT 1 Deployed to AL SEOC; R -IMAT 2 Deployed to FL SEOC FEMA HQ: ▪NWC is Monitoring; NRCC is Activated (TC Isaias) ▪N-IMAT Blue Deployed to Tallahassee, FL ▪R1 R -IMAT Deployed to Atlanta, GA US&R: TN-TF1, TX-TF1, VA -TF2, IN -TF1, Central IST cache, and White IST demobilized (OPORDs, as of 6:59 p.m. ET, Oct 11) MERS: Assets Deployed to Tallahassee, FL and Clanton, AL Logistics : SMT Atlant
@disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gyOct 13, 2026, 8:42 PM

#FEMA #Disasters

Tropical Cyclone Isaias – Gulf Coast Align text/graphic with first dot under grey line FMAG Slides: Graphic on the right. Situation on the left Response in the center Impacts in the table above. Align text boxes “top”, then group all three…and align “center”. Position with the same gap between the table and graphic as the gap between the table and grey line National Watch CenterSituation: Tropical Cyclone Isaias has dissipated , with minimal additional rainfall anticipated and no significant flooding impacts today. (WPC and FHO, as of 8:00 a.m. ET) State response operations & resources are wrapping up in impact area. Federal staged resources are rightsizing to properly support transitioning state postures. Lifeli nes impacts continue to improve; interdependent stabilization efforts for water systems & energy are ongoing while restoration operations continue. (FEMA Region 4 SLB #4, as of 7:00 p.m. ET, Oct 11) Lifeline Impacts: (FEMA Region 4 SLB #4, as of 7:00 p.m. ET, Oct 11) Safety and Security: FL: 3 State Search & Rescue task forces remain activated Food, Hydration, Shelter: Populations remain similar overnight in FL; shelters in other states have closed (ARC, as of 6:51 a.m. ET, Oct 12) ▪FL: 2 shelters / 16 (+2) occupants Health and Medical: FL: 7 healthcare facilities are in areas under evacuation orders; providers are working within systems to transfer 388 patients to partner facilities Water Systems: Multiple potable and wastewater s
@disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gyOct 13, 2026, 8:40 PM

#FEMA #Disasters

Federal Emergency Management Agency Event Monitoring: ▪No new significant eventsHazard Monitoring: ▪Excessive Rainfall / Flash Flooding – Central Great Basin to the Southwest ▪Tropical Activity: oAtlantic: •Disturbance 1: Low (20%) oEastern and Central Pacific: •Hurricane Simon (CAT -3) •Disturbance 1: High (90%) oWestern Pacific: •Tropical Depression 28W •Invest 96W: Low National Current Operations / Monitoring National Watch CenterNew Significant Incidents / Ongoing Operations: ▪Tropical Cyclone Isaias – Gulf Coast Disaster Declaration Activity: ▪No new declaration activity
@disaster-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gyOct 13, 2026, 8:40 PM

#FEMA #Disasters

Daily Operations Briefing Monday, October 12, 2026 8:30 a.m. ETFEMA National Watch Center
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