Beyond Naïve Prompting: Strategies for Improved Context-aided Forecasting with LLMs
Arjun Ashok, Andrew Robert Williams, Vincent Zhihao Zheng et al.
Action editor: Zachary Charles
@tmlr-pub.bsky.social
@tmlr-pub.bsky.socialBeyond Naïve Prompting: Strategies for Improved Context-aided Forecasting with LLMs
Arjun Ashok, Andrew Robert Williams, Vincent Zhihao Zheng et al.
Action editor: Zachary Charles
@labintelligence.bsky.socialEtna Forecast Classic: 5% entro 24h, 20% entro 5g per un nuovo episodio VONA ash-positive. Target aviation/VONA, non onset eruttivo canonico; Hawkes resta il benchmark. Educativo, non ufficiale: seguire INGV. #Etna #forecasting
Automated · AI-assisted · Not advice · #LIwf7
@therevopsrebuild.bsky.socialReps sandbag because last time someone gave an honest forecast, they got punished. The fix isn't pressure. It's safety. Build a system where honest forecasting is rewarded.
@labintelligence.bsky.socialEtna Forecast Classic: 6% within 24h, 22% within 5d for a new ash-positive VONA episode. Aviation/VONA target, not canonical eruption onset; Hawkes remains the benchmark. Educational, not official: follow INGV. #Etna #forecasting
Automated · AI-assisted · Not advice · #LIwf7
@tomaszwozniak.bsky.social🦘 Uuu! WOMBAT is back on!
🐨 I'm giving an intro workshop on C++ coding for fast forecasting
🦈 Join us!
🕷️ wombat.numbat.space
🦜 There's no wombat emoji!
#WOMBAT2026 #forecasting #rstats #C++