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@adimpactmirror.bsky.socialOct 5, 2026, 4:59 PM

#TXPol: Texas PAC, the SLF-affiliated pro-Ken Paxton group, is revising some of their reservations through 10/12. So far, we've seen $3.5M removed.

The group still has $26.9M in future #TXSen reservations on the books through 10/12.

@invertedpyramid.bsky.socialOct 5, 2026, 4:25 PM

Poor Ken. But isn’t it usually that the consultants get the blame only after the deeply flawed candidate has crashed and burned on Election Day? #KenPaxton #TXsen #Election2026

@leewahh.bsky.socialOct 5, 2026, 3:23 PM

"It's not my fault I'm a crook; it's someone else's fault I'm a crook" is definitely a novel campaign strategy. #TXSen

@jgibsondem.bsky.socialOct 5, 2026, 6:07 AM

Donald Trump and his insane policies, along with the nomination of Ken Paxton and the increasingly stale far-right GOP dominance at the state level, are the key reasons why Texas is competitive.
#TXSen

newrepublic.substack.com/p/in-texas-s...

@jgibsondem.bsky.socialOct 5, 2026, 6:07 AM

The Senate Senate in Texas could be very critical in getting the Democrats a majority, and James Talarico could be the one that helps gives the Texas Dems a big morale boost.

#TXSen

newrepublic.substack.com/p/in-texas-s...

@steveolson.bsky.socialOct 4, 2026, 9:21 PM

Following up on this national Paxton PAC buy during today’s NFL games on Fox, a single :30 could cost $820,625 according to Sportico’ anthony crupi. I’ve seen a few today, so seems like Texas PAC may have blown like $2.4M or more to get three ads in the Texans/Cowboys game earlier today. #TXSEN

a picture of my TV showing the final screen of a Paxton ad touting his anti-trafficking in TX (chuckle)
@capitolhillaccess.bsky.socialOct 4, 2026, 9:07 PM

Real time independent expenditure reporting for #TXSen

See the list:

http://capitolhillaccess.com/tr/tr_TM_IEPRenderRedSummary.aspx?&sChamber=S&sStateDist=TX-00&sCycle=2026

Real time independent expenditure reporting for #TXSen

See the full list:...

@capitolhillaccess.bsky.socialOct 4, 2026, 9:06 PM

TEXAS PAC spends $2,000,000 to OPPOSE James Talarico (Sen TX Sen)(D)

#TXSen.

2026 Cycle FEC Data:

https://capitolhillaccess.com/tr/tr_ef_filer?&sFECID=C00960211&sCycle=2026

FEC:

https://docquery.fec.gov/cgi-bin/forms/C00960211/2016823

@JohnCornyn @TeamCornyn @RepJasmine @JasmineForUS...

@mathelman.bsky.socialOct 4, 2026, 4:30 AM

Congrats, Ken Paxton!

His taxpayer-abusing luxury vacations got the Saturday Night Live Weekend Update treatment, with a nod to his serial infidelity.

#TXSen #KenPaxton #txlege #Texas #SNL #SaturdayNightLive @teamtalaricohq.bsky.social @jamestalarico.bsky.social

@adimpactmirror.bsky.socialOct 4, 2026, 4:20 AM

#TXPol: Democrats had the #TXSen advertising lead since the Republican Primary Runoff until the week of 8/25.

Republicans have spent at least $10M per week since the beginning of September.

Future reservations:🔴$53.6M 🔵$4.0M

Texas Senate General: Weekly Ad Spending & Reservations chart
@trumpstaxes.comOct 4, 2026, 3:40 AM

Like I said, the only thing better than Ken Paxton losing would be Ken Paxton losing after Trump and Republicans spent hundreds of millions of dollars on him in the process.

#TXSen

www.politico.com/news/2026/10...

@capitolhillaccess.bsky.socialOct 4, 2026, 1:01 AM

Real time independent expenditure reporting for #TXSen

See the list:

http://capitolhillaccess.com/tr/tr_TM_IEPRenderRedSummary.aspx?&sChamber=S&sStateDist=TX-00&sCycle=2026

Real time independent expenditure reporting for #TXSen

See the full list:...

@capitolhillaccess.bsky.socialOct 4, 2026, 1:01 AM

TEXANS FOR CONSERVATIVE VALUES spends $23,298 to OPPOSE Warren Paxton (Sen TX Sen)(R)

#TXSen.

2026 Cycle FEC Data:

https://capitolhillaccess.com/tr/tr_ef_filer?&sFECID=C00960575&sCycle=2026

FEC:

https://docquery.fec.gov/cgi-bin/forms/C00960575/2016696

@JohnCornyn @TeamCornyn @RepJasmine...

@invertedpyramid.bsky.socialOct 3, 2026, 9:26 PM

Then it really would be:

‘Turn out the lights,
the party’s over …’

#KenPaxton #TXsen #Election2026 #FlipTheSenate

@capitolhillaccess.bsky.socialOct 3, 2026, 8:18 PM

Real time independent expenditure reporting for #TXSen

See the list:

http://capitolhillaccess.com/tr/tr_TM_IEPRenderRedSummary.aspx?&sChamber=S&sStateDist=TX-00&sCycle=2026

Real time independent expenditure reporting for #TXSen

See the full list:...

@capitolhillaccess.bsky.socialOct 3, 2026, 8:17 PM

MAGA INC. spends $5,000,000 to OPPOSE James Talarico (Sen TX Sen)(D)

#TXSen.

2026 Cycle FEC Data:

https://capitolhillaccess.com/tr/tr_ef_filer?&sFECID=C00892471&sCycle=2026

FEC:

https://docquery.fec.gov/cgi-bin/forms/C00892471/2016639

@JohnCornyn @TeamCornyn @RepJasmine @JasmineForUS...

@adimpactmirror.bsky.socialOct 3, 2026, 6:14 PM

GOP has a reservation advantage in 8 of the 9 Senate races Cook rates Toss Up or Lean

#OHSen: 🔴$76.0M 🔵$49.7M
#MISen: 🔴$38.1M 🔵$20.2M
#TXSen: 🔴$53.6M 🔵$4.0M
#IASen: 🔴$28.7M 🔵$26.2M
#MESen: 🔴$31.5M 🔵$22.2M
#NCSen: 🔵$30.9M 🔴$15.5M
#NHSen: 🔴$14.8M 🔵$14.5M
#AKSen: 🔴$12.8M 🔵$12.8M
#KSSen: 🔴$12.7M 🔵$783K

Chart of toss up and lean Senate race reservations.
@capitolhillaccess.bsky.socialOct 3, 2026, 5:36 PM

Real time independent expenditure reporting for #TXSen

See the list:

http://capitolhillaccess.com/tr/tr_TM_IEPRenderRedSummary.aspx?&sChamber=S&sStateDist=TX-00&sCycle=2026

Real time independent expenditure reporting for #TX15

See the list:...

@capitolhillaccess.bsky.socialOct 3, 2026, 5:35 PM

UnidosUS Action PAC spends $18,983 to SUPPORT James Talarico (Sen TX Sen)(D)

#TXSen,

$8,135 to SUPPORT Bobby Pulido (Hse TX-15)(D),

and $8,135 to SUPPORT Vicente Gonzalez (Hse TX-34)(D).

2026 Cycle FEC Data:

https://capitolhillaccess.com/tr/tr_ef_filer?&sFECID=C00684258&sCycle=2026

FEC:...

@trumpstaxes.comOct 3, 2026, 3:12 PM

And honestly the #TXGov poll might be even more shocking than the #TXSen poll.

bsky.app/profile/usap...

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