Grilled Cheese

ExploreLog inSign up
Terms of UsePrivacy PolicyCommunity StandardsHelpGet the app

Grilled Cheese is a product of Village Compute

Version devBuilt at: 2026-10-12 02:39:10 EDT

Explore

PostsPeople
LatestRanked
Load more
@labintelligence.bsky.socialSep 17, 2026, 5:36 AM

Etna Forecast Classic: 30% within 24h, 66% within 5d for a new ash-positive VONA episode. Aviation/VONA target, not canonical eruption onset; Hawkes remains the benchmark. Educational, not official: follow INGV. #Etna #forecasting

Automated · AI-assisted · Not advice · #LIwf7

Etna Forecast Classic card: probability of a new ash-positive VONA episode 30% within 24 hours and 66% within 5 days. Selected source: model + history.Model metrics card: calibration Brier 24 hours 0.031 and 5 days 0.086; matured scorecard on n=24 24-hour forecasts and n=22 5-day forecasts.
@proceedingsmdpi.bsky.socialSep 17, 2026, 4:39 AM

#Forecasting Aggregated Hybrid Order Curves in the Day-Ahead #Electricity Market via FPCA and Gradient Boosting

by Marios Nikologiannis et al.

Eng. Proc. 2026, 154(1), 90; doi.org/10.3390/engp...

#research #OpenAccess #MDPI

@labintelligence.bsky.socialSep 16, 2026, 5:41 PM

13 giorni di previsione in shadow, 0 episodi di disservizio verificati. Ecco che aspetto ha il tabellino. #MaritimeAI #forecasting

Copertura orizzonti sugli episodi verificati: n/d. Dettaglio nelle card.

Educativo, AI-assisted. Non è guida operativa — fonte ufficiale NYC Ferry. · #LIwf21 · #LIit

Matrice 2×5 degli stati di allerta per approdo e orizzonte: 1 HIGH, 1 WATCH, 8 LOW.Nessun episodio verificato disponibile per il calcolo dell'anticipo.Sei riquadri con metriche prospettiche: Giorni in shadow 13, Episodi verificati 0, Recall episodi n/d, Copertura orizzonti n/d, Allerta su giorni aperti 38%, Completezza sorgenti 100%Barre di salute delle sorgenti: Completezza 30g 100%, Source SLO 100%, Integrità 100%
@retailrazor.bsky.socialSep 15, 2026, 3:30 AM

"Pretend functionality." @au79en.bsky.social 's name for ERP capacity planning. This week @ricardobelmar.bsky.social scores what AI actually fixes in #forecasting and #inventory, after our talk with ASU's Brett Duarte.

go.retailrazor.com/DBs2e14

#TopRetailExpert #RetailVoices

@labintelligence.bsky.socialSep 14, 2026, 3:16 PM

Etna Forecast Classic: 29% entro 24h, 66% entro 5g per un nuovo episodio VONA ash-positive. Target aviation/VONA, non onset eruttivo canonico; Hawkes resta il benchmark. Educativo, non ufficiale: seguire INGV. #Etna #forecasting

Automated · AI-assisted · Not advice · #LIwf7

Card Etna Forecast Classic: probabilità di nuovo episodio VONA ash-positive 29% entro 24 ore e 66% entro 5 giorni. Fonte selezionata: modello + storia.Card delle metriche del modello: Brier di calibrazione 24 ore 0.031 e 5 giorni 0.085; scorecard maturata su n=23 previsioni a 24 ore e n=21 a 5 giorni.
@isvetunkov.bsky.socialSep 14, 2026, 8:43 AM

Here is a confession. I don’t like the idea of “forecastability”. I think it does not bring value and can be harmful in some cases.
And I find its definition so disturbing that I cannot resist ranting about it...

openforecast.org/2026/09/14/f...

#forecasting #datascience #machinelearning

@agentictribune.bsky.socialSep 14, 2026, 4:19 AM

BEAST: Exascale Bayesian Weather Transformer Trained on JUPITER Reaches 3.96 Exaflops

#weather #ai #supercomputing #forecasting #exascale

@labintelligence.bsky.socialSep 13, 2026, 8:43 PM

Etna Forecast Classic: 24% within 24h, 59% within 5d for a new ash-positive VONA episode. Aviation/VONA target, not canonical eruption onset; Hawkes remains the benchmark. Educational, not official: follow INGV. #Etna #forecasting

Automated · AI-assisted · Not advice · #LIwf7

Etna Forecast Classic card: probability of a new ash-positive VONA episode 24% within 24 hours and 59% within 5 days. Selected source: model + history.Model metrics card: calibration Brier 24 hours 0.030 and 5 days 0.085; matured scorecard on n=22 24-hour forecasts and n=20 5-day forecasts.
@labintelligence.bsky.socialSep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM

Etna Forecast Classic: 24% entro 24h, 59% entro 5g per un nuovo episodio VONA ash-positive. Target aviation/VONA, non onset eruttivo canonico; Hawkes resta il benchmark. Educativo, non ufficiale: seguire INGV. #Etna #forecasting

Automated · AI-assisted · Not advice · #LIwf7

Card Etna Forecast Classic: probabilità di nuovo episodio VONA ash-positive 24% entro 24 ore e 59% entro 5 giorni. Fonte selezionata: modello + storia.Card delle metriche del modello: Brier di calibrazione 24 ore 0.030 e 5 giorni 0.085; scorecard maturata su n=22 previsioni a 24 ore e n=20 a 5 giorni.
@ramikrispin.bsky.socialSep 12, 2026, 5:32 PM

Issue 104 is out!

This week's agenda:
🔹 Open Source of the Week - the TimesFM project from Google
🔹 New learning resources
🔹 Book of the week - Generative AI on Microsoft Azure
ramikrispin.substack.com/p/timesfm-ge...

#ai #timeseries #forecasting

@itfeature.bsky.socialSep 12, 2026, 2:26 PM

Autoregressive (AR) models are fundamental building blocks in time series analysis and forecasting. In an autoregressive model, a variable is predicted using a linear combination of its past (lagged) values.
#timeseriesanalysis #AR(1) #AR(p) #stationarity #forecasting #Dataanalysis #autoregressive

@labintelligence.bsky.socialSep 10, 2026, 2:24 PM

Etna Forecast Classic: 26% entro 24h, 68% entro 5g per un nuovo episodio VONA ash-positive. Target aviation/VONA, non onset eruttivo canonico; Hawkes resta il benchmark. Educativo, non ufficiale: seguire INGV. #Etna #forecasting

Automated · AI-assisted · Not advice · #LIwf7

Card Etna Forecast Classic: probabilità di nuovo episodio VONA ash-positive 26% entro 24 ore e 68% entro 5 giorni. Fonte selezionata: Hawkes / storia eventi.Card delle metriche del modello: Brier di calibrazione 24 ore 0.029 e 5 giorni 0.084; scorecard maturata su n=21 previsioni a 24 ore e n=18 a 5 giorni.
@labintelligence.bsky.socialSep 10, 2026, 5:22 AM

Etna Forecast Classic: 11% within 24h, 35% within 5d for a new ash-positive VONA episode. Aviation/VONA target, not canonical eruption onset; Hawkes remains the benchmark. Educational, not official: follow INGV. #Etna #forecasting

Automated · AI-assisted · Not advice · #LIwf7

Etna Forecast Classic card: probability of a new ash-positive VONA episode 11% within 24 hours and 35% within 5 days. Selected source: Hawkes / event history.Model metrics card: calibration Brier 24 hours 0.029 and 5 days 0.084; matured scorecard on n=20 24-hour forecasts and n=18 5-day forecasts.
@tomaszwozniak.bsky.socialSep 10, 2026, 3:11 AM

💙💛 Join us TODAY for an online workshop on bpvars 💛 an R package 💙 for Forecasting with Bayesian Panel Vector Autoregressions! 💙💛
💙💛 It's a unique opportunity to get insights into thsi remarkable material 💙💛
💙💛 You can still register at: bit.ly/3wBeY4S
💙💛 See you soon!
#bpvars #rstats #forecasting

@tomaszwozniak.bsky.socialSep 9, 2026, 5:35 AM

💙💛 Hej! Our Workshop for Ukraine on 💙All about bpvars💛 takes place 💙💛 TOMORROW! 💙💛
💙💛 Register NOW at: bit.ly/3wBeY4S
💙💛 @dariia.bsky.social
#IsupportUKR #bpvars #rstats #forecasting

@tomaszwozniak.bsky.socialSep 9, 2026, 5:31 AM

💙💛 We have a plan! ...for the All about bpvars Workshop for Ukraine! Have a look!
💙 data prep
💛 panel VARs
💙 estimation
💛 missing observations
💙 forecasting labour markets
💛 reporting forecasts
💙 forecast performance evaluation
💛 Register: bit.ly/3wBeY4S
#IsupportUKR #bpvars #rstats #forecasting

@labintelligence.bsky.socialSep 7, 2026, 2:28 PM

Etna Forecast Classic: 3% entro 24h, 13% entro 5g per un nuovo episodio VONA ash-positive. Target aviation/VONA, non onset eruttivo canonico; Hawkes resta il benchmark. Educativo, non ufficiale: seguire INGV. #Etna #forecasting

Automated · AI-assisted · Not advice · #LIwf7

Card Etna Forecast Classic: probabilità di nuovo episodio VONA ash-positive 3% entro 24 ore e 13% entro 5 giorni. Fonte selezionata: Hawkes / storia eventi.Card delle metriche del modello: Brier di calibrazione 24 ore 0.028 e 5 giorni 0.082; scorecard maturata su n=19 previsioni a 24 ore e n=17 a 5 giorni.
@tomaszwozniak.bsky.socialSep 7, 2026, 2:16 AM

💙💛 Presenting at Workshops for Ukraine by @dariia.bsky.social is huge for me!
💙💛 To celebrate Ukraine and this occasion I prepared a Ukraine flag-coloured logo of the bpvars package!
💙💛 Join us THIS THURSDAY for my online seminar
💙💛 bit.ly/3wBeY4S
#IsupportUkraine #rstats #forecasting #bpvars

@tomaszwozniak.bsky.socialSep 7, 2026, 1:14 AM

💙💛 Hej! Join me THIS THURSDAY for my online seminar on
💙💛 All about bpvars
💙💛 a unique opportunity to learn the R package for Forecasting with Bayesian Panel Vector Autoregressions
💙💛 Workshops for Ukraine by the greatest @dariia.bsky.social
💙💛 See you!
#IsupportUkraine #rstats #forecasting #bpvars

@newisty.comSep 6, 2026, 2:36 PM

Why complex Bitcoin price models often fail to beat simple benchmarks

https://newisty.com/blog/why-complex-bitcoin-price-models-often-fail-to-beat-simple-benchmarks?utm_source=social&utm_campaign=crypto_news

#bitcoin #forecasting #machinelearning

Why complex Bitcoin price models often fail to beat simple benchmarks https://newisty.com/blog/why-complex-bitcoin-price-models-often-fail-to-beat-simple-benchmarks?utm_source=social&utm_campaign=cry